The Republic breaks down ASU football’s road win over Colorado
The Republic’s Michelle Gardner analyzes how the Sun Devils kept their Big 12 championship hopes alive with a 42-17 win over Colorado.
Can the Arizona State Sun Devils still win the Big 12 conference championship?
Yes, they can, but Kenny Dillingham’s team needs help in the final week of the regular season.
Here’s a look at the Big 12 standings, odds, projections, scenarios and tiebreakers for the conference entering college football Week 14, which is a big one for the Big 12, with four teams still in the conference title race.
Those four teams? Texas Tech, BYU, Utah and Arizona State.
What to know about the Big 12 conference championship race now:
Big 12 football standings
Texas Tech and BYU both lead the conference at 7-1 in Big 12 play.
Utah and Arizona State are now each 6-2, tied for third in the conference.
Every other team in the conference has at least three conference losses and is out of the running for the conference title game.
Big 12 football championship odds
BetMGM Sportsbook gives Texas Tech -400 odds to win the Big 12 now.
BYU is at +350, while Utah is at +3000.
Arizona State is at +5000.
Big 12 football championship projections
ESPN’s Football Power Index gives Texas Tech a 69% chance to win the conference now.
BYU is given a 28.9% shot and Utah is at 1.6%. Arizona State is at 0.5% to win the conference.
Big 12 football championship scenarios
Clinching scenarios for Big 12 teams:
Texas Tech and BYU control their own destiny in the conference. Win and they are in the conference championship game. They would also both be in with an Arizona State loss to Arizona on Friday, Nov. 28.
Texas Tech plays at West Virginia on Saturday, Nov. 29.
BYU hosts UCF that same day.
But what happens if Texas Tech or BYU lose their final game? Here are some other scenarios:
The Red Raiders could also get in the Big 12 title game with a BYU loss and a Utah win over Kansas on Nov. 28. The Cougars could also get in with a Kansas win over Utah and a Texas Tech loss.
Provided it defeats Arizona in the Territorial Cup, Arizona State would get in with a UCF upset of BYU or a West Virginia upset of Texas Tech and a Kansas upset of Utah.
Utah’s Big 12 title scenario? The Utes would be in the Big 12 title game with a win over Kansas, a BYU win over UCF, an Arizona State win over Arizona and a Texas Tech loss against West Virginia.
Elimination scenarios for Big 12 teams:
Texas Tech would be eliminated with a loss, an Arizona State win and a BYU win. A loss with an ASU win and a Kansas win would also eliminate the Red Raiders.
BYU would be out with a loss, an Arizona State win and a Utah win.
Utah would be eliminated with a loss or an Arizona win over Arizona State or a UCF win over BYU or a Texas Tech win over West Virginia.
Arizona State would be out with a loss to Arizona or a BYU win and a Utah win or a BYU win and a Texas Tech win.
Big 12 tiebreakers for 2025 season
The Big 12 has a complete tiebreaker policy laid out on its site, but here’s a summary:
For ties between two teams:
- Head-to-head record among the tied teams
- Win percentage against all common conference opponents among the tied teams
- Win percentage against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on the record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings
- Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (strength of conference schedule)
- Total number of wins in a 12-game season
- Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric), following regular season
- Coin toss
For ties between more than two teams:
- The records of the three (or more) tied teams based on winning percentage among the tied teams
- The records of the three (or more) tied teams compared based on winning percentage against common conference opponents played by all other teams involved in the tie
- Record of the three (or more) tied teams against the next highest-placed common opponent in the standings, proceeding through the standings
- Record of the three (or more) tied teams based on combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (strength of conference schedule)
- Total number of wins in a 12-game season
- Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric), following regular season
- Coin toss
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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