The A’s (45-71) and Boston Red Sox (64-51) play the second game of their 3-game series in Boston, Massachusetts, Saturday. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze MLB odds around the A’s vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 4-1.
The A’s have lost 9 games in a row and are 4-25 in their last 29 games. They lost the opener Friday 13-1, mustering only 2 hits. Their only run was a solo home run from Tyler Soderstrom. Starter Jack Perkins allowed 5 runs in 3 innings.
The Red Sox have won 9 games in a row and are 27-3 in their last 30 games, the hottest team in all of baseball. Six players had 2 hits Friday, Jarren Duran homered, and Wilyer Abreu drove in 3 runs. Starter Payton Tolle picked up his seventh win of the year, allowing 1 run on 2 hits in 6 innings. Raymond Burgos pitched 3 perfect innings for his first save.
A’s at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Gage Jump vs. LHP Jake Bennett
Jump (4-7, 4.59 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 66 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 4 H, 6 BB, 5 K in 11-0 home loss to Detroit Tigers Sunday
- Last start vs. Red Sox (July 28): Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 4-3 home win, his only career game against them
- 2026 road splits: 2-2, 2.51 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 5 starts
Bennett (7-4, 2.90 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 71 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8-4 road win over Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
- Last start vs. A’s (July 28 vs. Jump): Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 loss on the road, his only game against A’s
- 2026 home splits: 4-2, 2.94 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 5.1 K/9 in 6 starts
A’s at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Red Sox -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (+110) | Red Sox -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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A’s Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 4, A’s 3
The A’s last win was over the Red Sox in the opener of their series in Sacramento when Jump outdueled Bennett. It is the only A’s win in Jump’s last 8 starts.
The Red Sox are 6-1 in Bennett’s last 7 starts, the only loss coming to Jump and the A’s.
But the Red Sox took 2 of 3 games in that series in California and have only 3 losses in their last 30 games, while the A’s only have 4 wins in their last 29. You can’t reasonably bet the A’s to win outright, and the Red Sox ML just has no value. You get better value betting either team to cover.
PASS.
Now, this is where you have a rare opportunity. The A’s have plus odds to simply cover. Four of their last 8 losses have been by only 1 run, and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. Jump has a sub-3.00 ERA on the road and Bennett has a sub-3.00 ERA at home. This screams competitive game.
BET A’S +1.5 (+110).
The total was 7 when these 2 pitchers last dueled. Only 1 of their 5 meetings this season has had a total above 9.
Seven of Bennett’s last 9 starts have not reached 10 total runs.
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
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